Consensus is for the RBA to hike by 25bp tomorrow
December 5, 2022Consensus is for the RBA to hike by 25bp tomorrow What has happened since the last RBA meeting:- 10th November: Australia’s Central Bank says nearer to point when it can wait on rates. CPI fell to 6.9% y/y, down from 7.4% and beneath the 7.5% – suggesting inflation has peaked. Governor Lowe reiterated his belief
Read morePowell’s Brooking November 2nd FOMC Press Conference
December 1, 2022Powell’s Brooking November 2nd FOMC Press Conference In Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference after the FOMC meeting on 2nd November, he said that incoming data suggests that the ultimate level of rates will be higher than previously anticipated. In addition, he noted that, how high rates rise is more important than the pace of tightening.
Read moreAustralian inflation fell but just ‘weight’ a minute
November 30, 2022Australian inflation fell but just ‘weight’ a minute Australian inflation rose only to 6.9% y/y, down from a peak of 7.4% and lower than the 7.5% expected. Housing, food and non-alcoholic beverages and transport were most significant contributors. CPI rose 0.2% m/m, below its long-term average of 2.5%. The RBA will be happy to hear
Read moreThis week’s currency pair, USD/CNH
November 29, 2022This week’s currency pair, USD/CNH This week will bring a lot of US macroeconomic data and speech from US Fed Chairman Powell, which should give the markets a clearer direction of where the Fed may be headed next regarding monetary policy. Powell speaks at the Brookings Institute on Wednesday. The topic is the economy and
Read moreGrowing unrest in China Setting the Stage for a Risk-off Start
November 28, 2022Growing unrest in China Setting the Stage for a Risk-off Start US and European bond markets showed a divergent picture as US markets reopened after the Thanksgiving Holiday. US Treasuries continued to outperform. A disappointing US PMI released earlier last week only reinforced the view that there is a strong enough case for the Fed
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